2026 CNY ~ Is AI Promises Not Unlike The Tulip Mania

staying light, ignore the disruptions & hide away while getting prepared ...

WallStreet & gold and silver are near all-time high as Asian markets are near highs too despite contracting global economies, further hampered by tariffs, protectionism and threats of wars

US/P Trump is turning the world into a jungle where the fittest & submissive survive and prey on weaker nations; Canada, Greenland, Venezuela, Cuba, Panama, Columbia, including Japan & Taiwan   

Is US able to swallow all the weaker nations including EU? Not likely but enough to distort relationships

US will alienate her allies & push them into China and Russia spheres of influence! Is this all a charade? There are no surprises in politics ~ relationships are cultivated on mutual usefulness 没有永远的朋友也没有永远的敌人，只有利益

Stay calm & stoic while the big boys are playing with fire, power, money & influence - any wrong moves will affect the world at large

Whatever is beyond us, need not worry - you can voice out though

A shout in the wilderness gather mass 

Lie low, stay clear of troubled paths, be prepared 

When the ill-winds blow pass, resurface expeditiously & speedily ~ pounce when opportunities present

There are no winners in fighting against trends nor swimming against the tides. Anything that require 'taking chances' is a gamble. Lions fight alone whereas sheep flocks together

It is easier to climb the social ladder when the world levels down ~ we are not far from the next turning point, but few will make it

Luck is where preparation meets opportunity; nobody 躺平 makes it if they have given up 放弃

Blind obedience & followings are the surest way to failures 

When natural calamities strike, many will be left alone, or at least, loss many of their close ones. Learn to be alone; alone is not loneliness - stay away from crowds 

The richest 1 percent have more wealth than the bottom 95 percent of the world’s population put together - new Oxfam analysis 2024

After the storm comes the cleaning, reconstruction and calmness as life goes on ~ dead man tells no tales

Timing the markets [capital & commodity] is an Art that requires dogmatic discipline for which few have

Don't read too much into prophecy; commonsense tell you that an overvalued market, bathe with promises smelt sweetly like "Tulips" [mania] 

好运连连 年年有余 Whichever direction the fish swims depend on you 📈📉

Life challenges and costs of living issues will 'force' many to seek easier ways to make money & scamming is the new 'industry'

"Love, jobs and get rich quick" scams are the lowest entry bar yet easiest to bait - be forewarned

When your chips are down, lie low, be patient & sit it out. You only need a meal a day to survive

Scammers prey on haste

 

The world will change for the better but the 'old need to burn out before the new can lay roots'

Good LUCK; GOD bless ~ see you when the tides turn

Pre-CNY 2026 - Market Gossips

cash, guts, preparedness & lots of common senses... 

Blog post ~ 29th Dec - The rich valuation in DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ became a 'new normal' as many screamed "this time it is different". Will "thou shalt rise" continue into 2026? Perhaps, you can see DJIA [52,000], S&P500 [7,300] and NASDAQ [27,000] ... but expect an impactful corrective low 1Qtr [Jan - Apr] 

Blog post ~ 2nd Feb - Gold was a "Buy" above $3000 with the target of $4800-5200 [top up at $5600] while Silver was a "Buy" above $58 with a target of $90 [top up at $121]....  while BTC looks good at <$70,000 after recent corrections; trade for a rebound. Oil is the outlier & poise to surprise

Market as at closed ~ 6th Feb - Wall Street rebounded with vengeance with DJIA up 1306/2.47% [50,115.67], S&P 500 up133.9/1.97% [6,932.30], NASDAQ up 490/2.18% [23,031.21], Gold up $99.10/2.03% [$4,988.60], Silver up 0.811/1.08% [$77.52], Bitcoin rebounded from the low of <$62,500 to closed at $68,615

In the last 1-2 years, if you had kept money[currency] in the banks, you'd probably enjoyed <2% return whereas the capital markets and metals would have given you bountiful multiples despite tariffs, economic blocs contractions, geopolitical shifts, military gamesmanship and the unusual shifting of economic partnerships where loyalty gave way to trade advantages ~ businesses are done between friends

USA/P Trump wanted Canada, Greenland, Cuba, Venezuela, Columbia, Panama & others via threats of military intervention, sanctions and regimes change if money 'cannot buy' obedience

The Rules of Laws has become the Laws of the Jungle; the politeness of diplomacy has turned brute

Going forward, both markets are expected to be fairly volatile. Is there money to be made in the Capital market and the Commodities market? Yes! Lots indeed. These markets are not linear; you can buy, sell, Stop[buy & sell], hold or exit, if unsure

Everyone wants to make money, but few want to do their homework

Trade the range, ride the trends, stop-loss, value buys; nobody goes broke by taking profits   

Be fearful when crowds build and be brave when storm hits ~ aboveall, be nimble

Bees flock to flowers as flies enjoy shits

The whales will make their bundles & swim away when the crowds/retail swop in

Enjoy the thrills of trading and investments but beware of the guillotines 

From the ashes come the phoenix but few are able to return, flourish and reign

The long lunar holidays may be an inferno

Lookout for more updates

Gold, Silver, BTC & The Capital Markets ~ Joys & Sorrows 2026

making money is not difficult but securing it is always a challenge ...

7-Years Cycle ~ an extension of the 4-Years Cycle

1973 - oil crisis with stagflation

1980 - FED increased interest rates, triggering recession

1987 - Black Monday ~ the largest one-day drop (22%) & wiped off $500bil in history

1994 - Bonds massacre ~ bonds collapse as rates rose

2001 - DotCom bubble ~ "this time is different" 

2008 - Financial Crisis ~ Lehman Brothers, Subprime, CDOs, housing collapsed

2015 - China stock market crash, crisis spread to other markets, including the Greek debt default

2022 - FED increased interest rates ~ cryptos TerraUSD & platform collapsed 

2029 - ?? 

~ 2026; this is the time the 7-year cycle has peaked and turned down

Expect turbulent and disruptive changes in 2026 : 28th Jan, the Jakarta Composite Index fell as much as 9% during the day, 29-30th Jan, Gold and Silver dropped 20-30%. BTC dropped from high of $120,000 to <$80,000. Kospi 200 dropped 5% [2nd Feb], triggering a trading halt

Expect the unexpected : re-evaluation of WallStreet mystical "this time it is different" & it's richly priced AI-powered NASDAQ, that had hit new highs repeatedly, interest rates and currency fluctuations, readjustment of Asian stock markets and sudden geopolitical shifts that will likely hit financial markets ~ shifts between asset classes are normal

WallStreet will attempt to rebound after the sharp correction [1Q/2Q]; buy on sharp drop for traders

It is not all doom & gloom; in the long run, financial markets will reflect the 'real' & more acceptable values and adjust excessive exuberances 

Expect 1Qtr/2Qtr 2026 to be unusually reactive and for smart money seek safe heavens 

Gold was a "Buy" above $3000 with the target of $4800-5200 [top up at $5600] while Silver was a "Buy" above $58 with a target of $90 [top up at $121]. Any prices above the targets were aberrations & profit-take never make anyone goes broke 

The re-rated Gold entry is around $4300-4700 and Silver is $65-85, while BTC looks good at <$70,000 after recent corrections; trade for a rebound. Oil is the outlier & poise to surprise

Asian stock markets, in particular China and HK, will attract smart monies in sharp correction; look out for AI & tech Cos, eSolutions, datacenters, oil-energy plays, pharmas, food & beverages  

Inevitably, overpriced capital & commodities markets will adjust to reality & there are opportunities to make some bucks in volatile trading conditions 危机 Ready/surplus cash allow traders to cast their net wide    

This is not an investment advice but an educational guess after analyzing historical cycles. If in doubt, please consult your bankers, investment advisors and professionals