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Tuesday, December 10, 2019

Forward Fiction: What Will 2020 Brings

tomorrow may not come...

The Capital Markets

The US debts have risen from under $16trillion (2012) to $23trillion (2019).
The DJIA was about 5000 points in 2011 and rose to near 28,000 (2019).
Were debts powering DJIA or did DJIA pave the way for more debts? Either way, can each or both survive an economic stalemate to decline caused by trades restriction (read: trade war)?  
As the US$ finds save haven in Petrol$s, will a sudden 'divorce' cause a collapse of the almighty US$?
The future is uncertain...

The future of finance is as safe as a 'collapse' so as to enable the values in circulation to adjust to real, instead of fiat, money. Ideally, a managed decline is better than sudden changes but the world order is in disorder as trusts are dissipating fast. The avalange of derivatives written by banks and underwritten by insurance houses, if implode, will make 2007/8 looked miniscule; a child's play. Watch gold.

The first 3-quarters of 2020 will be a test of nerves where the trade wars may manifest into an accidental military confrontation of sorts. The level minded political leaders have to ward off the 'hawks & trigger-happy' politicians & military boys whose thoughts centred on 'limited warfare'! In this dangerously nuclear-armed world, it's gonna be MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction) & it's destruction unlimited.        

I am not altogether negative.

Trade conflicts will be ironed out but painful acceptance is required. In the meantime, every countries and economic blocs adjust to each others' expectation. Trades may fall, economic numbers decline but over time, it become a 'new normal'; there are enough to go around as expectations wane. Smart monies will find haven in new techs, fintecs, eCommerce and, logistics and AI (Artificial Intelligence) will gain prominence.

On-time and Just-In-Time deliveries will grease the waves of commerce. Capital markets will continue to provide the money flow whereas commodities markets, especially soft commodities, will gain importance as more mouths need to be fed.

A divided global packs of USAmerica, USEurope and USAsia (include Russia), all commonly greased by MidEast Oil, will slow down commerce but not decimate trades. Watch Asia. Of course, if this happens, we may be walking through the dark tunnel of depression. Isn't this Boom & Bust Cycle?

Expect the global uncertainties to clear out but 4th Quarter, 2020. Hopefully, Earth still remains healthy and intact.

There is hope. 

You have your picks on where to 'invest your money'; the good old, "eat (everyone still need to eat), use (the basic supplements for daily living), necessities (need I say more?) and new eSolutions & eCommerce (the new eWorld)" industries should meet your needs.

Wishing ALL A Happy & Prosperous 2020

What Does The Wizard Say About 2020 - Forward Fiction

tomorrow may not come...

The Capital Markets

The US debts have risen from under $16trillion (2012) to $23trillion (2019).
The DJIA was about 5000 points in 2011 and rose to near 28,000 (2019).
Were debts powering DJIA or did DJIA pave the way for more debts? Either way, can each or both survive an economic stalemate to decline caused by trades restriction (read: trade war)?  
As the US$ finds save haven in Petrol$s, will a sudden 'divorce' cause a collapse of the almighty US$?
The future is uncertain...

The future of finance is as safe as a 'collapse' so as to enable the values in circulation to adjust to real, instead of fiat, money. Ideally, a managed decline is better than sudden changes but the world order is in disorder as trusts are dissipating fast. The avalange of derivatives written by banks and underwritten by insurance houses, if implode, will make 2007/8 looked miniscule; a child's play. Watch gold.

The first 3-quarters of 2020 will be a test of nerves where the trade wars may manifest into an accidental military confrontation of sorts. The level minded political leaders have to ward off the 'hawks & trigger-happy' politicians & military boys whose thoughts centred on 'limited warfare'! In this dangerously nuclear-armed world, it's gonna be MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction) & it's destruction unlimited.        

I am not altogether negative.

Trade conflicts will be ironed out but painful acceptance is required. In the meantime, every countries and economic blocs adjust to each others' expectation. Trades may fall, economic numbers decline but over time, it become a 'new normal'; there are enough to go around as expectations wane. Smart monies will find haven in new techs, fintecs, eCommerce and, logistics and AI (Artificial Intelligence) will gain prominence.

On-time and Just-In-Time deliveries will grease the waves of commerce. Capital markets will continue to provide the money flow whereas commodities markets, especially soft commodities, will gain importance as more mouths need to be fed.

A divided global packs of USAmerica, USEurope and USAsia (include Russia), all commonly greased by MidEast Oil, will slow down commerce but not decimate trades. Watch Asia. Of course, if this happens, we may be walking through the dark tunnel of depression. Isn't this Boom & Bust Cycle?

Expect the global uncertainties to clear out but 4th Quarter, 2020. Hopefully, Earth still remains healthy and intact.

There is hope. 

You have your picks on where to 'invest your money'; the good old, "eat (everyone still need to eat), use (the basic supplements for daily living), necessities (need I say more?) and new eSolutions & eCommerce (the new eWorld)" industries should meet your needs.

Wishing ALL A Happy & Prosperous 2020






Monday, December 9, 2019

Change While You Can

the spirit is willing but the body is weak...

You are as strong as you are today; mobile, active & thinking
The strongest person is easily taken down by sickness or disease
Dr Alexandre Chao died from severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) while serving in a hospital fighting the deadly virus
Canadian model and actor Godfrey Gao dies at 35 while filming reality show, possibly heart attack
Steve Jobs died in Palo Alto on October 5, 2011, after battling pancreatic cancer for nearly a decade
Being born and death is not a choice as tomorrow's never promised

Between being born and death, you can do whatever you want within your ability
Climb the highest mountain, swim the deepest ocean, dive the clearest reef or being the worst dictator or best leader or remain a pauper
You can push the frontiers
But, do not push well beyond your limits - your body is the first signal
Material achievements and vanity fame are temporary & illusional

Stay healthy & laughs away your worries
No amount of money can give you a qualitative life
Health is the CAPITAL that drives all harmonious achievements 
Evil motives and a schemer's mind will eventually self-destruct
Gluttony - when you take more than what you can chew & digest, you implode in due course

There is fear in changes but without changes you will forever be entrapped 囚鸟
Eating out of another's hand is like drug dependency - forever stucked
Promises are illusions until delivered & if trust was/were broken, only fools grip on
Why leave your life to another who fools you forever? If you've made the choice, be prepared to live with it
Do not be a prisoner onto yourself

Give yourself a chance as nobody will
Go forth and conquer and push for newer frontiers
Nobody cares if you are alive and well but if you enjoy slavery, enjoy the suffering too
Bricks and stones break bones, not words
With a healthy mind and body, nobody can enslave you

Rest if you must but never quit
 
When you are being used and enslaved, that's because you have chosen so
The spirit is always willing but if your body is weak (to resist), you are a weakling
No amount of encouragement and motivation can save you but yourself
Begin today and now to see the best in yourself & break open from your self imposed misery
Winner write the story; followers read and fools applaud

There are few days left in December 2019
If you didn't change or don't want to change, you will have 366days to do so in next Leap year
But, death may arrive earlier
You are as good as your last breathe
Go...go on; be there, done that
There is no gifts in afterlife
 




Thursday, December 5, 2019

Year 2019 Almost Stop

every moments pass shalt never return...

What is life and death? It's the moment that you start breathing & when it stops
GOD never serves notice for either
Between life and death, you can do whatever you want but that doesn't mean you will get all you wanted
There is that much to go around & not all desires can be crystalised
The world will never be equal yet humans are making the divide greater
December - the last month in the year - a challenging year indeed

I closed November in a most unexpected drama, having to face the shadow of death
One of my lesser used organ ruptured, requiring an urgent cut, clean and removal
The excruciating pain was the only symptom as I never has any health issues before
The thought of going under the knife was unthinkable for a healthy guy like me but I did
What if I didn't get out of the theatre alive? Well, that's never my concern
I have lived everyday to the fullest and tomorrow's never promised

I was warned by no less than two friends that, over the last one year, each of them have lost two fairly healthy friends
Their lives just expired
That's life
I hear and see many who complain more than utilizing their energies to find solutions
There are also many who preach the niceties of heaven and the wraths of hell
Why not live your best and enjoy a 'heavenly life on earth' than to wait for the next world? Alas
If you didn't live healthily and happily, you've wasted your time ...living

There is a short 25 days before December 2019 closes and passes
Dreams are sweet and goals are far
Go forth to achieve and push for new frontiers
Many who procrastinate will be repeating their resolutions again
You CAN and you must crystalize your dreams before your last breathe
There is no extension and mostly, it is sudden

When the music stops, the dance ceases

世上没有如果 只有结果和后果

Be there, done that is better than "I should have..."
Time and tides wait for no man
A day well spent is 86,400 seconds gained
May your balance in 2019 be the best
GOD bless








Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Turbulent Times

the pendulum swings ...

Life never ends and flips from good to bad and reverse
Just like sunrise and sunset
The four seasons come and go and remind everyone to pace their life/lives
It is not the length of down times that 'kills' but the intensity
Throw in 'impatience' and you will be almost totally incapacited
Many a person surrender for lack of patience

MaoTzeDong said "ignore it and it wouldn't hurt. Don't think about it and it didn't exist"
If you can ignore the pain, the hurt and the setback; nothing cuts
When Man is non-emotional & have no expectations, he is one realm above many
He can accept the good and the bad with equanimity
A Man can repeat a lie a million times such that all others believe it is true
All men are gullible

Self-beliefs drives the person 

When you are down, lie low; the world loves a Winner...losers are 'punished and banished'
Rostrum are for victors
There is time for everyone and everything
Rest, recharge, recuperate, wallow in self-pity, heal the wound...just don't rush
Some day, some how...you will return a better person and be able to fight better; if only you knew
Yuan ShiKai, Deng XiaoPing, Putin, Dr Mahathir & many others waited and arrived in due course

Wars are all painful, vengeful, merciless and regretable
But, many who survived the turbulent times return to prosperity and luxury
Normal life is abnormal to many
Just live the best you can when the situation is worst; you shall float up when good times return
It is all about surviving the "downs"; the "ups" is near heaven & need no guidances

I am not very smart
But, I wait in line, prepare my mental capacity, gather knowledge and skills, stay healthy & be ready
When the opportunity presents, pounce
Victory is the best and sweetest revenge
There are no turbulent times, just "down times"
Get over and it is the new phase....   




 








Friday, November 15, 2019

Eliminates The Useless And Irrelevance

time and tides wait for no man...

There are moments when people need help
There are urgency that cannot wait & require immediate attention
I will be there
But, when the reverse happens...I am also there alone
If there is a ruler to measure helping and asking for help, I would have a ruler that runs round to globe reflecting the former
Not that I needed help but I have to learn to resist helping others
My time, effort and resources are ill-spent

Respecting others' time is another virtue
When you let others wait idly for you, it reflects badly on you
Our time is finite; time spent on you means others are deprived of it
We must make the best use of time and spend it wisely and fruitfully
Only the best and non-toxic members deserve your time

拉黑

In today's internet world, the information avalanche is simply humongous
Wechat, Whatsapp, Twitter, Linkedln, Lines...my world is overwhelmed with datas
Many are getting lonelier than happier and stress is more intense as machines replace humans
There is minimum to no human interaction
Human devoid of others co-relation is void and lonely and suffers mental decay
The empty mind is the devil's workshop

The deluge of of eInformation and eFriends are detrimental
I safely assume I do not know 70% of my hp-contacts and others in the eChatsGroups
And, I wasted efforts and time just doing eCommunication; they only exist in space - the radiowave
No one can come to my rescue when I'm in need
I am not hopelessly negative but I am learning to be practical - only true friends count
And, I gonna do spring cleaning of my eFriends and eAcquaintances

Eliminate the useless, well not that they were useful
Forget the acquaintances and the "hellows from the Blue Moons"
Block those who knock on my doors for helps and favors and disappear almost as immediately
Blackmarked 拉黑那些无事不登三宝殿   the parasites
I would have save 30% of time & happily 'extend' my life
There are many who will love my presence

I am occasionally stress myself to the brink
Standing by the cliff and I ponder what's next
The Great GOD comes by to relieve me of my silliness
And give me a reprieve
At moments like these, I re-energised

Some day, some how; I will run out of time

But, I will live every day as currently and current as I possibly could
Today, as I breath, I am alive
I may expire any time...
Henceforth, I live everyday to the fullest









Friday, October 25, 2019

Die Or Dying

the last breathe is the final...

What if I know or I'm told that my days are numbered? Surprise, reject, accept or resigned...
Being born and dying is never a choice
You can't choose when to come and to which family and you can's stay a day more if it's time to go
You arrive wailing and when you leave, others wail
We arrive naked and return fairly naked but clothe by those sending you off
They sing birthday hymns on arrival as they'd sing religious hymns on departure

Who's GOD or that Godly person that many refer to? He is nothing more but a "feelings of sorts"
But, MAN needs someone to hold his hands in uncertain times - the longings for comfort
Man need GOD but no Man, or few, has seen GOD
Strangely, Man longed to go to Heaven & avoid Hell
But, why not live a heavenly life on Earth than to hope to go to heaven; it may not exist at all
Why make living on Earth hell (or hellish) and try to avoid Hell on your passing? There is a choice

Live your best when others live worse

No two person will be equally happy even if their wealth are equal
I met a friend, in the 60s, walking with a limp, carrying a plastic bag, looks happy but shag & aged
He is worth at least s$500m; no mistake
I cannot say "he is not unhappy" but I can safely say he has aged alot and his smile is much less radiant
He has everything many people want; family, big houses, cars, money...but few friends
I can only guess, as we aged, friends and companions are important ...a few good, genuine friends

I have few regrets if I know I am dying or will die soon
Fear? Maybe, but do I have a choice? Guess not, but my will to live is my extension licence
Accept? Acceptance is when the Mind submits to the AlMighty GOD; someone no one has seen
Resigned to Fate? When you have no choice, there is really no point resisting
Going with the flow makes leaving easier and smoother
Maybe, you find a better abode upon departure - nobody knows

Frankly, it is not about the comings and going; it is the quality of living

I have been there, done that 酸甜苦辣

My future is unknown albeit comfortable with tinglings of disruptions from time to time
It pains me that the more I devote time and resources, the more likely it will frustrate me
Guess, when there is no expectations, there is no disappointments
But, laughing it away is my antidote and humour is my defence
Yes, I do crack from time to time but i metamorphose into recovery 

Deep inside me, I do not want to know I am dying or will die soon
I'd rather flicker out like a sudden outage
Do I have a choice? Steve Jobs has everything in the world but he was made aware of his mortality
Nobody goes off happily and willingly; at least not all
I guess knowing or not knowing is also "not a choice"

Come whatever may
Do whatever fits
For there is never a certainty on Earth
Everything is variable
When the bell rings, the class ends  













Friday, October 4, 2019

Patience

rushing is 'walking into more uncertainties'...

Patience is valueless
Although patience can be taught and learnt but few are able to master it
The need to stay cool, calm and unmoved in adversity is a test of the Soul, not physical
Many cool-cucumbers cracked during trying times
It is not merely about holding back but the desire to exact an immediate change causes the spins

You need nine months to 'make' a baby & you can't make love to 9 women and gets a baby tomorrow

Solutions lie within the problem & focusing on the problem only magnify the issue
When anxieties creep in, anarchy follows
No one is any wiser without a sound, stable & calm mind

All thing passes like day and night
The good passes faster as you indulge while the bad passes slower as you sulk
You can't pick ideal solutions in chaos
You must live one realm above the rest to decipher the truth from the myths

Some say the paths to Hell is paved with gold
Why bother to wait to enjoy heaven when you lived in 'Hell on Earth'? Make your earthly life heavenly & enjoy the most while you are alive

Time is the best friend
Patience is the best antidote
And, you are the best practitioner
With grit, the mind stabilizes & the brain works wonders
The decision to do (YES), not to do (NO) or to shelf (KIV) ...are all solutions

In a war, you need to survive
In famine, you withstand hunger & eat to live
In corporate retrenchments, you continue to perform but lie low 
In poverty, you live with dignity and honesty
In mourning, you allow yourself private spaces to 'live out the pains and miseries'


Patience is not procrastination

When things go wrong as they sometimes will
Chasing the solutions are more important than looking for the 'fall guy'
When the situation is restored and running, you have a choice to seek out the problem kid
By then, it may have becomes irrelevant
Use your energy and efforts for positive pursuits

Patience is an art

I took some minutes to capture this sunset
It's not as if I can move the sun forward & drop
it into the horizon
And I let the sun sets on me

Impatience can cause untold damages
The future is as certain as  your decision
When the rice is cook, you cannot find grains

Patience is a virtue

The Natural Order of Nature cannot be expedited
The form shall manifest only after the time is due
天时地利人和
Many want instant gratification
The best time to plant a seed is ten years ago
The best time to eat the fruit is today if you have planted & done your part

Whatever works
Patience gives the extended mileage
With grit and patience, the Soul conquers new frontiers












Tuesday, September 17, 2019

Victory Tastes Sweetest

sweat it out ...

Tears, sweat, hunger and blood are little sacrifices toward victory
Success is 99% sweat & 1% luck
Well, not really...but luck is still dominant - ask the losers
It is easy to cheer the boxer, the runner or the political candidate in the heat of the events
But, few will understand the efforts, 'defeats' and sweat that went through
Nobody starts with a 'defeat' in mind but it is the believe in yourself & grit that push forward

In a short 1 hour conversation over drinks, a friend asked me repeatedly "so what have you achieved" with all your efforts thrown in? I calmly said "not much but ..."
I have three houses and two cars and he...still paying for his public apartment - our age is not too far apart

When you keep doubting yourself, how can you ever achieve? The start point is hollow
With hopes & grit, the journey is a little easier
With a positive mind, the journey becomes a breeze
Sure, we may meet dusts storms and gusty winds but never waver
Nobody knows what success is until you achieve your goal - the trophy does change over time

When the kid gets his ice-cream, when he graduates from pre-school - these means nothing but are achievements in their own right
When the man gets a job & when he gets promoted - these meant alot
When the woman marries, she wins her preferred best man & he is "her everything in her world"
When he dies and he receives a proper decent burial, he quietly leaves with dignity
Simple victories, different feelings

The best time to plant a tree is now & the best time to long for the/it's fruits was 10 years into the future; You cannot have the fruits by planting a seed today
Just like it takes nine months to get a baby & it doesn't mean you impregnate 9 women today and the baby arrives tomorrow
The pupa cracks to allow the butterfly to evolve; a natural drying of its wings allow it to fly & to add color and beautify the garden
If you break the pupa and help to remove the butterfly, it becomes incapacitated and dies
Nature has her methods to perfection - time

Many can drive but few can be a F-1 driver
Many can be fathers but few can be an 'ideal' dad
The best are nurtured over time
There is no need to complain and sulk after defeats as success is the best antidote
When the chips are low, lie low, rejuvenate, refresh, relearn and unlearn
Be ready & pounce when opportunity abounds again

Opportunities must be acted upon and crystalized
There are many geniuses but few successful ones
If only you change, nothing changes, victory included








Saturday, September 14, 2019

You Just Cannot Be Too Trusting

what's more painful than being betrayed...

The saddest thing about betrayal is it never comes from your enemies
And, betrayals have a way of repeating itself by sponging on the weakness of your heart
防人之心不可无 害人之心不可有
However you thought that you were prepared, the perpetrator seemed to be able to pry into your weaknesses, that is, kindness
I have been a victim as I have witnessed many victims; not for lack of IQ but simply weak at heart

The best defence is attack
每个人要有底线
When hit by scam, deception or simply 'conned', it is best to hit back hard
But, how many will or can? More often than not, it's not worth hitting back
Many believe that someone else will serves the karma but...

Are you any happier that the scammer, con-artist or cheats meet a painful death? No, whatever for
Everyone will die some day and their mode of exit is destine
Why should a painful, suffering death be a happy occasion lest to exchange for a bigger, personal hurt
The victims gain nothing 

Stab the body and it heals, but injure the heart and the wound lasts a lifetime - Mineko Iwasaki

Trusting someone over money is the silliest act yet it's as common as commonsense
Spending time to aid another who never value your assistance is a lost cause
Physical losses are temporary but emotional losses are etched for life
Time lost to a lost cause can never be recovered 

Not all losses can be cut short
Marriage, electing a politician, signing a contractual obligation...take a painfully long time to dissolve
It's not the length of time to expiration but the draining emotion that saps the Soul
Walk away, walk far, far away and don't ever look back

When trust is gone, any other word becomes a passing - let it pass
 
I am still trying to be ungullible
But, I know, deep inside me, I have weak heart
Nevertheless, I will hit back hard the next time
That's what I say now...will I? Haha, it is not in me nor my character to be vengeful

Guess, until then...

 

 


 

Tuesday, September 10, 2019

The Servant & The Master

the pains of having to rebel...

Most commoners are happy to go about doing their daily chores and making their livelihoods
Nobody want to rock the boat and mess up the environment to make living economically impossible
The politics of the day is left to the few
Politicians are potentially history-makers, for the better or the worse

Robert Gabriel Mugabe was a Zimbabwean revolutionary and politician who served as prime minister of Zimbabwe 
He was a hero until almost absolute power turned him a dictator
 
José Alberto "Pepe" Mujica Cordano, president, Uraguay, has been described as "the world's humblest head of state" due to his austere lifestyle and his donation of around 90 percent of his $12,000 monthly salary to charities that benefit poor people and small entrepreneurs

Ferdinand Marcos, president, Philippines, ruled a rising economy but ended being branded the most corrupted, extravagance and brutal regime

History remembers the most hated and the most loved leaders
Winners get to write history
Leaders must care and share & 'sacrifice' for his/her people
Man will die for their leaders because of trust and confidence
Of course, it's country before self...taxing, milking and squeezing every drop in the name of "preparing for the future" is totally absurd

How do you save when you are hardly able to live? A hungry man is an angry man

The world’s richest people have seen their share of the globe’s total wealth increase from 42.5% at the height of the 2008 financial crisis to 50.1% in 2017, or $140tn (£106tn), according to Credit Suisse’s global wealth report published on Tuesday. The globe’s richest 1% own half the world’s wealth (report - 2017)

The world's poor has little to none to eat because the rich compounded wastages
Trickle down economics do not help the poor
Many anarchy, revolutionaries and rebellions occur after years of suppression; it's an implosion
The people can take the punches but like all things, the elasticity has limit
It is not why did it happen but when...

Why did the HKers take to the streets and still refused to stop? Why did the Malaysians voted for a change? Why did UK opt to leave the EU?
There is a limit to poverty-sharing; it is the sharing of misfortunes, not prosperity
Strangely, the wealthy, famous and powerful somehow forgot the meaning of  "sharing"
You can take more but you cannot take all
The Arab Spring exploded over a minor incident ; the/a tiny match can burn a forest 

Nobody wants anarchy
Nobody seeks to destroy a peaceful environment
But, the evil will inevitably light the fuse of oppression and suppression
Self-destruction comes after reasons are thrown out of the windows
There is no reasons in an emotional implosion

 Let us keep the lights of hope and peace burning

....before the light burnt out

Who is the servant and who is the master cannot be calibrated; it is the natural order of living  


Life Story - Everyone Has A Story To Tell

time changes everything ... From being an uneducated rookie to success took time and lots of surprises; believe in yourself is pure antidote...