Crystalling The Financial (Stock) Markets

money ~ always not enough ...

It has been a turbulent and unpredictable 6 months but opportunities 危机 aplenty.  It's 25th June, 2025 ~ sharing the following observations:

Gold - expect to test 3800-4200 for the year 

Crude Oil - trading range 65-85

Bitcoin - expect peaking near 120,000

DJIA - likely to test and surpassed [all time high] 45,073. Resistance 47,000 ~ for market timing fans, all bets off by end Aug/early Sep 

S&P 500 - to test 6147 & surpass. Unlikely to break 6400

Nasdaq - To test 21000. If breakout, upside 25000

STI - tough resistance near 4100

HangSeng HSI - Trading range 23000-25000 

KLSE Bursa - Resistance 1720   

Traders - take profits and exit markets by mid-Aug/early Sep 2025

 

Miracles Happen Daily When The Time Is Ripe

 go with the flow ...

There are many different ways to achieve your goal, not necessarily by force or bold actions; blend into the ecosystem with natural responsiveness & perseverance  

Too much Yang阳 [hardness] create less flexibility whereas Yin阴 [soft] allows for malleabilty, adaptability and receptivity 以柔制刚

Be subtle, adaptable and sensual; talk less, plan enough and need not think too much. Whatever shalt come, will come

Realities are not potentials - be nimble, be like water   

The able leader is able to delegate & only need to watch over his brood as they grow & manifest

Open up and allow attraction to find you instead 姜太公钓鱼 愿者上钩

Be patient and mindful and let fortunes find you; trust your gut feel... widen your perspective and watch others lead while you make observation and conserve energy. Expect the unexpected and be opened to new angles to solutions & leadership

Water source and rivers changed their flows over time; be the ocean to receive [water]. Be spontaneous and natural  

Feelings of fearful apprehension is a sign of  'being forewarned, be aware and to avoid'; stay clear when in doubts but be alert and prepared. Walk away if necessary

Water cuts through steel and stones

天时地利人和 运转乾坤

When stillness and movements meet, harmony is achieved without contrivance nor great effort like the return of Spring

Be yourself; chase no vanity, claim no fame nor praise and free yourself from bondage. Lie low & nurture virtue from within oneself 先学做人后做事   Enjoy quiet perseverance stoically

Withdraw and retreat into safe heaven to watch and observe and avoid incurring hateful retaliation but remain steadfast and firm

Be resolute and fear not; kindness is not weakness & maintain readiness and caution & remain resolute 

When opportunity presents, be genuine, pounce but be humble without making a show of it. Be discrete and subsist by refusing glaring credits

Avoid troublesome, calculative, scheming and difficult people ~ slowdown, observe, pick and choose ~ there is no free meal

Never fight when you are weak and unsure... 

Wait, wait & WAIT; there is a time for everything 顺天命 随天意

 It isn't over till the fat lady sings

Live Happily In Turbulent Times

differing flairs & strokes are enablers to ease life pressures...   

When you are under 20yo, there is no stress except you need to study well & learn some skill sets

Well, the teens call this period the Generation-Gap! The only gap is income gap where their parents earned and pay for their education and growing up years while they do next to nothing but 'paid' to study & learn

When you start working to make a living, it is too late to reminisce the easy under 20yo

Growing up, unlike the flow of water, never [seldom] backflow 

Rivers can experience temporary backflow, often due to tidal action or weather events, like strong winds or heavy rainfall which can cause rivers to temporarily flow backward & geological events, like earthquakes or landslides, not unlike river reversals; these actions are not normal

Man can only live and act forward

Whatever happen, some routes are necessary in the journey towards better days; sufferings are subsets embedded to test your resolve

The first officially recognized sub-10 second 100m sprint was achieved by Jim Hines at the 1968 Summer Olympics in Mexico City, with a time of 9.95 seconds. Between then and now, 190 persons had done under 10sec, with the current record of 9.58 seconds set by Usain Bolt in 2009; a monumental achievement 

Victory is sweet but how much sacrifices and effort were expended and pains pricked and tears fell before the fruits of achievements crystalize

Ultimately, the successful ~ politicians, entrepreneurs, artistes, chefs, whoever... ~ never talk about their failures and sufferings. WHY? Successful people have no time to waste over 'spilled water'; their goal is to SUCCEED & success speak loudest

Be yourself ~ you are unique

Stress, depression, distressed, anxieties and mental disorientation occur when you seek perfection

Fighting for rights and equality are ideals, not readily available to the poor, weak and frail 

In any uncomfortable and stressful situations, seek to minimize all comforts, eat enough to live, speak less(er), stay healthy, remained cheerful & stay alive - live best while others live worst - await your opportunity 

Anything, and in any environment, that are beyond your control, go along and go with the flow - do not swim against the tides

Live to fight another day

Be positive, remain sane and calm

For the better or worse, everything changes over time - when you are at your lowest, there can only be a 'turn around & uptick'  

Before SG's GE25, there were loads of dissatisfaction, complaints, ideas origination and suggestions, cries of struggles and screams of indignation but the outcome were starkly different: >65% supported the existing environment and policies

What above had demonstrated were: in period of uncertainties, people prefer to stick to the "known & usual" than to seek new routes and change 

The determination & capability to survive vary

Live like the willow tree that dance in the storm and await the passing of the ill-winds than the grand oak tree that fell

Retreat into the wilderness and enjoy the carefree universe

When you walk away from the crowd, peace returns

Many worry about 'what others say or think of them', 'wait for a better time', 'tolerate the innuendoes', 'live up to another's expectation', 'become a worries [mental garbage] dump'...

Not too long after you're gone, nobody remembers you

But, BUT... if your time is not up, you will not die. Henceforth, it is best to live a fruitful & fulfilling life

Live now. Live the very moment as tomorrow is never promised  活在当下 明天和意外不懂哪个先到

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Live Well & Be Happy, Don't Worry

feeling free eases life pressures...

When you feel lost, disoriented, sad and/or uncomfortable with your surroundings, the people and the ecosystem, venture into the forest, the beach, the sea, mountain top and... anywhere where you allow your mind to go free 

Free from encumbrances and free from your physical bondage

Listen to the waves lapping onto the shores, the songs the sea birds sing

Enjoy the clear, uncluttered sky and the soothing breeze

Dive deep into, & reminisce, the past, the younger days, the fleeting innocent mischief and the wanton disregards to youthful foolishness

Contrary; you only die once & live for as long as your entitlement allows

Being hardworking, committed, enthusiastic and diligent must be your *second Nature, no "IFs", no "BUTs"

My friend reminded me that between Luck and Opportunity, it is 51% Luck and 49% Opportunity on the road to success

Grab the opportunity and apply your *second Nature, the rest will fall into place. If you don't succeed, you gain experiences

If you don't action it and never try, you have zero chances of success

The youthful innocence and mischief, the foolish challenges, the 'dares' and the 'never#say#die" attitude were not without risks but you live to tell "the story"

Everyone rushes to the end [of life]

Mayflies are considered to have the shortest lifespans of any animal, typically living only one day

Bowhead whales: These whales are among the longest-living mammals, with some individuals living for over 200 years and the Giant tortoises: some giant tortoises can live for over 150 years

Human live averagely to 80 years old; few have the fortune to live beyond 100yo

Live & enjoy every moment 酸甜苦辣 天天难过天天过

The stress of life and living can be avoided. We work to live [earnings] & do not live to work [slavery]. When the chips are low, lie low; be thrifty and stretch your dollars

Everyone is created unique & has a role in his life [time]

There are enough food to feed the world population if there are no hoarding and wastage

GOD created Man to enjoy life, not to slave & suffer

It is Man's ego, greed, self-entitlement and selfishness that created sufferings and poverty; the need to control and dominate will end with destruction

Stress caused depression, anxieties, wasting and cutting short of many lives

The rich cannot live in a sea of poor; if the poor don't cultivate & produce food, the rich cannot eat their money ~ money is a means to an end and not an end in itself

In this uncertain period, keep pace, don't rush, enjoy the peace and lie low. Let the ill-wind blow pass. Money can buy many things but not all - have enough to get by

Like the tides, and day & night, nothing is finite amidst cyclical ... free your mind & live the moments as best you can ~  There is no fear in anything that is beyond our control

I stay within GOD's shelter 避风塘  & trust HE will handle the rest & give me the best

 

 

 

June & It's Opportunities

doing nothing is ...

Being busy is more a blessing than stress

Looking for worthwhile things to do is worse than searching for the needle in the haystack

'Hobbies' is the in-between solutions to "feed & fill" your mental needs; an empty mind is the devil's workshop

The overworked mind, if not physically sustained and balanced, will crack [the mind ~ insanity]

It is necessary to walk away when the pressure builds up ~ ventilate & release

Everyone is dispensable

We work to live and not live to work - do not work yourself to the grave

Enjoy your family warmth and be surrounded by loved ones ~  no amount of money can buy, nor should this be left to, the future as tomorrow is never promised 明天和意外 不知哪个先到

Instead of worrying about tomorrow, it is best to live well today, and any day ... for tomorrow may not come - this is not pessimism but reality

No Man can defeat nor control the the wrath of Nature ~ after the destruction, comes reconstruction but the population wipe-out could be monumental

Live or die by the decree of the AlMighty

The current global trade conflicts, restrictions and protectionism is an 'act of [economic] war'; and the repositioning of economic groupings may help minimize disruptions and instill some sense of stability

What is happening around the world today reflect Man's ego - the "Thucydides Trap" - refers to the theory that war is likely when a rising power threatens to displace an established power, often leading to a shift in global dominance

Instead of global cooperation, blocs of countries, lead by the Alpha-leader, challenge another for dominance

The Alpha-leader also demand undivided loyalty, payment of financial tributes and isolation of  'common enemy', imagine or otherwise

It is best to do nothing & avoid being caught in the crossfire; stay neutral 

Nothing is permanent; infinity is abstract

P Trump and E Musk were the best of buddy; E Must fund his presidency campaign and he won. He positioned him into his inner circle but today, they are after each other's throat ~ the most powerful man versus the richest man

Goh JH, son of ex-PM GCT, lost a legal suit and was held liable for $146m. On his appeal, he was found not guilty

Quote - "It ain't over 'til (or until) the fat lady sings"

In this period of uncertainty, opportunities 危机 abound  

Do Not rush, stay calm and calculated 发呆是一种艺术

If it must be yours, it will be

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prelude To Stock Market Gyrations

in turbulence, opportunities abound...

It is already late May 2025 and many lives are disrupted and the questions on many people's mind are; will there be [more] aggravated wars, economic disruptions, inflation or recession? Global capital markets had suffered a set back in March/April period [1Qtr], though recovered, but many are still reeling in agony

P Trump's on-off tariffs and erratic executive orders is putting lots of stress and pressures on all & sundry

USA has pushed Europe into a siege amongst themselves; to be or not to be

Russia and China are forced to close rank while the rich MidEast nations have to 'pay for their protection' against potential aggressors, without antagonizing US, Europe, Russia and China   

You can expect less(er) disruption until August arrives & nearer (where) the Total Lunar Eclipse, circa September 7, 2025 ~ another financial shock is highly probable [plus/minus weeks]*

*The technical charts quarterly cyclical lows are January, April, July & September

Between now to end August, traders will have a field day but, BUT, keep tight stops [likelihood to pen another analysis nearer the 'fateful' date]

Everyone wants to make money/profits but few are willing, and discipline, to do 'homework'/analysis

The stock market is a device to transfer money from the impatient to the patient - Warren Buffett

There is no lack of opportunities 危机 In my boredom & listlessness, I read to discover new possibilities and mend my inadequacies 

书中自有黄金屋，书中自有颜如玉

Knowledge is priceless; may not be useful now but it shalt be of use some day

The martial artist trained earnestly not to pick a fight but, if need be, he protects himself and his properties with his preparedness when exigencies present

Be there, done that; have a story to tell

I make no attempts, nor claim to be able, to predict the stockmarkets. I do technical and fundamental analysis, sprinkled with lots of commonsense and psychology; I look for values in investing

Like everyone, I learn to stand up after every fall ~ when you fell into a hole, stop digging

Between now to mid-late August, I am a range-bound [dips & rise] trader; no fanfare, no emotions

On a bigger picture, you cannot ignore P Trump - his words & his actions send seismic vibrations across the globe but, although he is a tough bargainer [not negotiator], he can settle for less  

The warring factions and nations will ceased fighting if the supply of weapons stopped 

The world is nearing self-destruction if nukes fall into the hands of a 'madman'; he has no sense of equilibrium

Let wisdom and the level mindedness rule

 

 

 

When You Need To Talk

 when the heart is heavy, it is ...

Sometimes, your heart is loaded & you have lots to share or pour out

But, it is not always possible ~ audiences are not readily available neither appropriate at times

The bloated heart sometimes bleed with glee as it releases emotions in dreams

I have, and will still, lengthen my dreams to enjoy that moment of happiness and exhilaration ~ a harmless indulgence

On the same page, I will awake soonest to estop nightmares 

Mother Nature has no limits in solutions

不是做不到 而是还没想到  

Trust GOD to provide answers ...Oops! HE is busy at times though

Take a walk, cycle, enjoy a long transport travel aimlessly, get lost in the uncharted terrain; do whatever fits. A clear mind works wonder

When the mind wonders, let it wonder - free it

A running heartbeat could be due to fear, love, shock, passion, and/or even discovery ~ the tinge of emotional alarm ringing

The heartbeat and the breathe - whichever stops, life stops

I tears easily, not because I am weak but because my heart overflows with genuineness and compassion

I can take punches but I will never tolerate character assassination; it is better to die with honor than to live the life of a coward and accuse    

Time is slow when you are sad and fast when you are happy   

Friends, no friends, few friends ~ whatever! Be the brave one, be ALONE

没有永远的敌人也没有永远的朋友 自有利益

Not all feelings need to be shared  

In this ever changing ecosystem, you need to be fleet footed or, remain calm whilst awaiting the situation to stabilize  ~ an un-emo heart and a calculated brain help

Remained unmoved by your surroundings as gossips, innuendoes and hearsay undermine confidence

Whatever and however you feel, do not be generous to share you feelings; the envious plot to exploit you, the jealous seek to expose and gossip about you but your true friends will avoid you

When you need to talk, confide in the AlMighty; HE will absorb your excesses and keep them ~ humans will always gossip

You need not live like a hermit; keeping quiet manifest peace

 

 

 

Truths, Lies & Half-truths

empathize but don't sympathize ...

Some people deserve their consequential poetic ends

Nobody know the 'real' him/her as some facades envelop "Jekyll and Hyde" completely but Karma keeps perfect records

Stockholm Syndrome ~   Stockholm syndrome is a coping mechanism to a captive or abusive situation. People develop positive feelings toward their captors or abusers over time. 

You may pity, and be concerned, but the victim believed in his self-induced narcissism and lives in a silo, away from reality ~ there are niceties ad ignorance  

When you know it is untrue, lies and half truths yet you accept it as truths, you have pawned your life to the devil 

 

因果轮回 ~ 不是每一个人都可以帮【除非你要（能）扛他人的因果】do

Man proposes & GOD disposes ~  do your best and leave the rest

In "Careless People", author Sarah Wynn-Williams was right to chase her dreams and created a job position out of thin air. She docked a job in FB, devoted her time and life (almost died) to climb the corporate ladder but ...she didn't draw red lines or base lines and ended up packing when she was near the top

Trust NO one when you are fighting to gain steps up the corporate appointments - everyone is your competitor

Use any means and methods toward your targeted pole position; any mercy may mean 'squid game' end

Knows when to quit ; it's best to quit when you are at [or near] the top. Be there, done that

We arrive alone, naked and crying and someone gave you the first bath

When you leave, some others will cry and a someone will give you a final bath

You can't change the world unless you change yourself yet everything that happen around you may affect you

The earlier you realize that being alone is better than be in bad and wrong company, the less disruptive your life will be

 

 

 

 

 

 

Lesser Said Is Wisdom

the less spoken, the better...

The compacted time and space have made silence more than golden; brilliantly golden orange

Quietness, alone and emptiness will be rare and sought after in the throes of noise and disruptions

Being able to travel alone, be alone and remain alone restores sanity and stability

I'd like to retreat into less crowded, fewer people, little vehicular traffic arena and live amongst Nature; the birds, bees, flora and fauna and almost nothingness

A good retreat, the outside world & WiFi-less environment, shalt booster the mind and body

I shalt will away all my worries and disturbances; nothing affects me as I adopt and adapt - the chameleon - whatever fits

Fight or flight isn't definitive; be prepared & ready to fight ~ Offense is the best defense 

Threatening to take actions is reactive, being prepared to counter-attack is proactive and more definitive 

The 'poison shrimp' is small but the bigger enemy will die swallowing it 

Mental health is the pilot of societal norms while the sane mind, if disrupted and disoriented will crashed 

Peace be with you/all

Soon, leveling down will occur and more will benefit and be given chances to climb the social ladder - a billion divided into thousands benefit more lower level commoners 

[Steve Jobs had >$10bil when he died and NOBODY can help him carry his illness. If he had spent half his wealth feeding the poor, underprivileged and sick, for all you knew, a [or a few] may volunteer to donate their organs to keep him alive and extend his live]

Wealth without health is a greater curse

It is better to be alone than in bad company. Sometimes being surrounded by everyone is the loneliest, because you'll realize you have no one to turn to 

The curse of the Stock Market

Many don't realize that the stock market rewards the brave, who are far and few in-between

When the crowds rush in, it is time to get out; it's being alone and right, not loneliness

When the market crashes, everyone disperses and that's loneliness

The recent cliff-like drop in stockmarkets have recovered and while many were hurt, some new winners emerged 

Consolidation and range trading will be the norm but "be out" by mid-August/September; it may pay handsomely to keep short positions by then

The rich is never short of friends but the poor seldom get invited

Be yourself and need not envy

I am learning; trying to learn and put into practice ~ avoid friends with motives and schemers

I'd wriggle into my cocoon and hibernate soon and let the turbulent ill-winds blow by

I am getting tired, maybe burnt out - swimming against the tides of resistance

If you don't hear from me after one month, I could have expired but I have lived my life to the fullest ~ moment by moment 

In GOD, I trust

Man proposes, GOD disposes

I shalt return stronger

StockMarket - Trappings & Opportunities - Looking Ahead

everyone wants to make money but few wants to do homework...

Much written in my blog, "Brave The Changes", dated 3rd March, has unfolded and is still progressing

Stock contagion began in mid-March and mothballed into an avalanche recently

A multitude of reasons caused this downswing, the key factor being tariffs/protectionism

But, the writings were in the charts; a tool some laughed at while others dismissed as unreliable

In my minute world, the charts are an aggregate of mass psychology ~ herd instincts and responses

Like the pendulum, equilibrium returns after space are spared and time has lapsed

The capital market is an imbalance, imperfect market ~ the tug of war between believers and doubters, stirrers and provocateurs, with 'manipulators' in tow

Over valued markets make way for fair and under-valued ones ~ the smart money smell their way to safer heaven

It's very difficult to predict when the next recession or stock market crash will come. Don't despair amid the inevitable setbacks, especially during a crisis in the market. 

You are as brave as you are not geared; only invest your excess funds

In the house of cards, nobody survive after the collapse

When it comes to investing, nothing will pay off more than educating yourself. Do the necessary research and analysis before making any investment decisions - Benjamin Franklin

Never plunge in blindly into any investments - you save 100% if you never participate

It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong - George Soros ~ Cutting loss is as important as riding the profit(able) uptrend 

52 Weeks High/Low - Index

DJIA                45,073/36,611

S&P 500          6,147/4,835

Nasdaq            20,204/14,784

Nikkei              42,426/30,792

ASX                 8,615/7,169

FTSE                8,909/7,544

STI                   4,005/3,136

HSI                  24,874/16,044

FTSE Bursa     1,684/1,453

IDX Indon       7,910/5,882   

SZ Index          11,864/7,908

Crystalball Gazing

There will be short term rebound and for those who have been, or dares, bottom fishing. There will be meaningful profits - nobody goes broke by taking profits - markets reward those who are prepared and brave. Turbulence are trading opportunities [long or short] 

It is not surprising to see (if) the market testing the recent lows after the rebound. When sense and level-mindedness return, market recovers into 3Qtr. Mid-August & September will be another testing moments (total lunar eclipse)

Do your own homework and assessments. It is not difficult to pick winners but it is easier to loss yourself in the noise, gossips and speculations

Investing should be more like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas - Paul Samuelson

Life Is ... Yours To Lead

Is there life after work...

We work to live and not live to work

In early times, people hunt, fish and farm the land for food; there were enough to go around

As commune formed, exchange begun whereupon the excess food were swapped signalling the beginning of barter trade. Life was a breeze ~ eat, drink, procreate 

天地人 ~ Heaven, Land, Human

天 - Heaven observes and rules but never speak and acts as the equalizer

地 - Land (Earth) provides the abundance; farm it, mine it or simply live on it

人 - Man is given the freedom of choice

Earth provides for all, Man and others, to coexist and live harmoniously and in peace

With specialization and industrialization, overproduction and the unconsumed turned into waste

Raw materials were wasted and rubbish churned with excess food production wasted as those in need did not receive and many were left famished; the great imbalance begins

Industrial wastes contaminate the Land

The 'Thinking Man' becomes selfish, seek dominance and greed brewed, marking the beginning of self-destruction : Man against Man, neighbors against neighbors and family against family

Survival of the fittest shifted from animals to Man ~ whereas animals kill for food but Man kill for game and dominance

Fast forward today. AI and robotics are supposed to make Man's life easier and safer by taking over the more dangerous & hazardous works, the repetitive & mundane jobs so as to release Man to 'enjoy life' and harvest & enjoy the abundance of Nature

Not the reality though ... will leave this to another time

Everyone is running towards the end [of life] although nobody knows when his is due

Yet, many are running around like headless chickens, chasing their egoistic goals against chasing an achievable dream

Dream big is a motivation but you've to get up to work on your dream and do it within your capability and control - management 101

Above all, everyone must be healthy; no amount of money can buy health

Without health, nothing can be achieved; [quote - Steve Jobs - February 24, 1955 - October 5, 2011 -  died as a billionaire, with a capital of 7 billion dollars, at the age of 56 from pancreatic cancer, and here are some of his last words... "At this moment, lying in bed, ill and remembering my whole life, I realize that all the recognition and wealth I have are insignificant in the presence of imminent ... money - but you can't hire someone to carry the disease for you]

We eat to live and not live to eat. Let us do the necessary and live life to the fullest

You are as good as your final breathe

Find something to fill the spare time, be it hobby, friends or simply, meditation

Alone is not loneliness and empty is not void

The Supreme, the top person, the absolute leader and the many successful persons are almost always alone ... alone at the top