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Tuesday, December 10, 2019

Forward Fiction: What Will 2020 Brings

tomorrow may not come...

The Capital Markets

The US debts have risen from under $16trillion (2012) to $23trillion (2019).
The DJIA was about 5000 points in 2011 and rose to near 28,000 (2019).
Were debts powering DJIA or did DJIA pave the way for more debts? Either way, can each or both survive an economic stalemate to decline caused by trades restriction (read: trade war)?  
As the US$ finds save haven in Petrol$s, will a sudden 'divorce' cause a collapse of the almighty US$?
The future is uncertain...

The future of finance is as safe as a 'collapse' so as to enable the values in circulation to adjust to real, instead of fiat, money. Ideally, a managed decline is better than sudden changes but the world order is in disorder as trusts are dissipating fast. The avalange of derivatives written by banks and underwritten by insurance houses, if implode, will make 2007/8 looked miniscule; a child's play. Watch gold.

The first 3-quarters of 2020 will be a test of nerves where the trade wars may manifest into an accidental military confrontation of sorts. The level minded political leaders have to ward off the 'hawks & trigger-happy' politicians & military boys whose thoughts centred on 'limited warfare'! In this dangerously nuclear-armed world, it's gonna be MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction) & it's destruction unlimited.        

I am not altogether negative.

Trade conflicts will be ironed out but painful acceptance is required. In the meantime, every countries and economic blocs adjust to each others' expectation. Trades may fall, economic numbers decline but over time, it become a 'new normal'; there are enough to go around as expectations wane. Smart monies will find haven in new techs, fintecs, eCommerce and, logistics and AI (Artificial Intelligence) will gain prominence.

On-time and Just-In-Time deliveries will grease the waves of commerce. Capital markets will continue to provide the money flow whereas commodities markets, especially soft commodities, will gain importance as more mouths need to be fed.

A divided global packs of USAmerica, USEurope and USAsia (include Russia), all commonly greased by MidEast Oil, will slow down commerce but not decimate trades. Watch Asia. Of course, if this happens, we may be walking through the dark tunnel of depression. Isn't this Boom & Bust Cycle?

Expect the global uncertainties to clear out but 4th Quarter, 2020. Hopefully, Earth still remains healthy and intact.

There is hope. 

You have your picks on where to 'invest your money'; the good old, "eat (everyone still need to eat), use (the basic supplements for daily living), necessities (need I say more?) and new eSolutions & eCommerce (the new eWorld)" industries should meet your needs.

Wishing ALL A Happy & Prosperous 2020

What Does The Wizard Say About 2020 - Forward Fiction

tomorrow may not come...

The Capital Markets

The US debts have risen from under $16trillion (2012) to $23trillion (2019).
The DJIA was about 5000 points in 2011 and rose to near 28,000 (2019).
Were debts powering DJIA or did DJIA pave the way for more debts? Either way, can each or both survive an economic stalemate to decline caused by trades restriction (read: trade war)?  
As the US$ finds save haven in Petrol$s, will a sudden 'divorce' cause a collapse of the almighty US$?
The future is uncertain...

The future of finance is as safe as a 'collapse' so as to enable the values in circulation to adjust to real, instead of fiat, money. Ideally, a managed decline is better than sudden changes but the world order is in disorder as trusts are dissipating fast. The avalange of derivatives written by banks and underwritten by insurance houses, if implode, will make 2007/8 looked miniscule; a child's play. Watch gold.

The first 3-quarters of 2020 will be a test of nerves where the trade wars may manifest into an accidental military confrontation of sorts. The level minded political leaders have to ward off the 'hawks & trigger-happy' politicians & military boys whose thoughts centred on 'limited warfare'! In this dangerously nuclear-armed world, it's gonna be MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction) & it's destruction unlimited.        

I am not altogether negative.

Trade conflicts will be ironed out but painful acceptance is required. In the meantime, every countries and economic blocs adjust to each others' expectation. Trades may fall, economic numbers decline but over time, it become a 'new normal'; there are enough to go around as expectations wane. Smart monies will find haven in new techs, fintecs, eCommerce and, logistics and AI (Artificial Intelligence) will gain prominence.

On-time and Just-In-Time deliveries will grease the waves of commerce. Capital markets will continue to provide the money flow whereas commodities markets, especially soft commodities, will gain importance as more mouths need to be fed.

A divided global packs of USAmerica, USEurope and USAsia (include Russia), all commonly greased by MidEast Oil, will slow down commerce but not decimate trades. Watch Asia. Of course, if this happens, we may be walking through the dark tunnel of depression. Isn't this Boom & Bust Cycle?

Expect the global uncertainties to clear out but 4th Quarter, 2020. Hopefully, Earth still remains healthy and intact.

There is hope. 

You have your picks on where to 'invest your money'; the good old, "eat (everyone still need to eat), use (the basic supplements for daily living), necessities (need I say more?) and new eSolutions & eCommerce (the new eWorld)" industries should meet your needs.

Wishing ALL A Happy & Prosperous 2020






Monday, December 9, 2019

Change While You Can

the spirit is willing but the body is weak...

You are as strong as you are today; mobile, active & thinking
The strongest person is easily taken down by sickness or disease
Dr Alexandre Chao died from severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) while serving in a hospital fighting the deadly virus
Canadian model and actor Godfrey Gao dies at 35 while filming reality show, possibly heart attack
Steve Jobs died in Palo Alto on October 5, 2011, after battling pancreatic cancer for nearly a decade
Being born and death is not a choice as tomorrow's never promised

Between being born and death, you can do whatever you want within your ability
Climb the highest mountain, swim the deepest ocean, dive the clearest reef or being the worst dictator or best leader or remain a pauper
You can push the frontiers
But, do not push well beyond your limits - your body is the first signal
Material achievements and vanity fame are temporary & illusional

Stay healthy & laughs away your worries
No amount of money can give you a qualitative life
Health is the CAPITAL that drives all harmonious achievements 
Evil motives and a schemer's mind will eventually self-destruct
Gluttony - when you take more than what you can chew & digest, you implode in due course

There is fear in changes but without changes you will forever be entrapped 囚鸟
Eating out of another's hand is like drug dependency - forever stucked
Promises are illusions until delivered & if trust was/were broken, only fools grip on
Why leave your life to another who fools you forever? If you've made the choice, be prepared to live with it
Do not be a prisoner onto yourself

Give yourself a chance as nobody will
Go forth and conquer and push for newer frontiers
Nobody cares if you are alive and well but if you enjoy slavery, enjoy the suffering too
Bricks and stones break bones, not words
With a healthy mind and body, nobody can enslave you

Rest if you must but never quit
 
When you are being used and enslaved, that's because you have chosen so
The spirit is always willing but if your body is weak (to resist), you are a weakling
No amount of encouragement and motivation can save you but yourself
Begin today and now to see the best in yourself & break open from your self imposed misery
Winner write the story; followers read and fools applaud

There are few days left in December 2019
If you didn't change or don't want to change, you will have 366days to do so in next Leap year
But, death may arrive earlier
You are as good as your last breathe
Go...go on; be there, done that
There is no gifts in afterlife
 




Thursday, December 5, 2019

Year 2019 Almost Stop

every moments pass shalt never return...

What is life and death? It's the moment that you start breathing & when it stops
GOD never serves notice for either
Between life and death, you can do whatever you want but that doesn't mean you will get all you wanted
There is that much to go around & not all desires can be crystalised
The world will never be equal yet humans are making the divide greater
December - the last month in the year - a challenging year indeed

I closed November in a most unexpected drama, having to face the shadow of death
One of my lesser used organ ruptured, requiring an urgent cut, clean and removal
The excruciating pain was the only symptom as I never has any health issues before
The thought of going under the knife was unthinkable for a healthy guy like me but I did
What if I didn't get out of the theatre alive? Well, that's never my concern
I have lived everyday to the fullest and tomorrow's never promised

I was warned by no less than two friends that, over the last one year, each of them have lost two fairly healthy friends
Their lives just expired
That's life
I hear and see many who complain more than utilizing their energies to find solutions
There are also many who preach the niceties of heaven and the wraths of hell
Why not live your best and enjoy a 'heavenly life on earth' than to wait for the next world? Alas
If you didn't live healthily and happily, you've wasted your time ...living

There is a short 25 days before December 2019 closes and passes
Dreams are sweet and goals are far
Go forth to achieve and push for new frontiers
Many who procrastinate will be repeating their resolutions again
You CAN and you must crystalize your dreams before your last breathe
There is no extension and mostly, it is sudden

When the music stops, the dance ceases

世上没有如果 只有结果和后果

Be there, done that is better than "I should have..."
Time and tides wait for no man
A day well spent is 86,400 seconds gained
May your balance in 2019 be the best
GOD bless








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