making money is not difficult but securing it is always a challenge ...
7-Years Cycle ~ an extension of the 4-Years Cycle
1973 - oil crisis with stagflation
1980 - FED increased interest rates, triggering recession
1987 - Black Monday ~ the largest one-day drop (22%) & wiped off $500bil in history
1994 - Bonds massacre ~ bonds collapse as rates rose
2001 - DotCom bubble ~ "this time is different"
2008 - Financial Crisis ~ Lehman Brothers, Subprime, CDOs, housing collapsed
2015 - China stock market crash, crisis spread to other markets, including the Greek debt default
2022 - FED increased interest rates ~ cryptos TerraUSD & platform collapsed
2029 - ??
~ 2026; this is the time the 7-year cycle has peaked and turned down
Expect turbulent and disruptive changes in 2026 : 28th Jan, the Jakarta Composite Index fell as much as 9% during the day, 29-30th Jan, Gold and Silver dropped 20-30%. BTC dropped from high of $120,000 to <$80,000. Kospi 200 dropped 5% [2nd Feb], triggering a trading halt
Expect the unexpected : re-evaluation of WallStreet mystical "this time it is different" & it's richly priced AI-powered NASDAQ, that had hit new highs repeatedly, interest rates and currency fluctuations, readjustment of Asian stock markets and sudden geopolitical shifts that will likely hit financial markets ~ shifts between asset classes are normal
WallStreet will attempt to rebound after the sharp correction [1Q/2Q]; buy on sharp drop for traders
It is not all doom & gloom; in the long run, financial markets will reflect the 'real' & more acceptable values and adjust excessive exuberances
Expect 1Qtr/2Qtr 2026 to be unusually reactive and for smart money seek safe heavens
Gold was a "Buy" above $3000 with the target of $4800-5200 [top up at $5600] while Silver was a "Buy" above $58 with a target of $90 [top up at $121]. Any prices above the targets were aberrations & profit-take never make anyone goes broke
The re-rated Gold entry is around $4300-4700 and Silver is $65-85, while BTC looks good at <$70,000 after recent corrections; trade for a rebound. Oil is the outlier & poise to surprise
Asian stock markets, in particular China and HK, will attract smart monies in sharp correction; look out for AI & tech Cos, eSolutions, datacenters, oil-energy plays, pharmas, food & beverages
Inevitably, overpriced capital & commodities markets will adjust to reality & there are opportunities to make some bucks in volatile trading conditions 危机 Ready/surplus cash allow traders to cast their net wide
This is not an investment advice but an educational guess after analyzing historical cycles. If in doubt, please consult your bankers, investment advisors and professionals
