Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Understanding StockMarket

Stockmarket - Bulls, Bears, Sheep & Ants
The bulls buy with a hope that market will rise
The bears sell & profit from downswing
The sheep follow bulls or bears

The ants buy/sell on rumors, hearsay & generally make the least money & take extreme risks

*Time Cycle Analysis -
Market Moves In Cycles
They are the (see charts) :
4 Year Cycles
10  Year Cycles
40 - 60 Year Cycles – also read Kondratiev Cycle
( 1800 Steam Engines/Cotton  1850 Railway/Steel  1900 Electrical Engineering & Chemistry  1950 Petrochemicals & Automobiles 1990 Information Technology)

And the shorter term Quarterly Cycles – January, April, July, October

4 Year Cycle
2016 - ??
2012 - Global Recession/Slowdown
•2008 - Financial Crisis
•2004 - Argentinian Crisis/SARS
•2000 - DotCom
•1996 - Asian Financial Crisis
•1992 - Black Wednesday (British pound withdrawn from      European Exchange
•1988 - Norwegian Banking Crisis
•1984 - Third World Crisis -Philippines & Singapore Recession (PanEl)
•1980 - US – Savings & Loans (S&L)
•1976 - UK National Debt
•1972 - Overproduction, Under Consumption, Oil Crisis

10 Year Cycle

2007 •Global/Euro Financial Crisis

1997 •Asia Financial Crisis

1987 •Black Monday


Quarterly Cycle

January •Capricon Effect, Portfolio Re-alignment

April •1st Quarter Report

July •Mid-Year Review

October •Jupiter Effect/Performance Recalibration





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