Understanding StockMarket

Stockmarket - Bulls, Bears, Sheep & Ants

The bulls buy with a hope that market will rise

The bears sell & profit from downswing

The sheep follow bulls or bears

The ants buy/sell on rumors, hearsay & generally make the least money & take extreme risks

*Time Cycle Analysis -
Market Moves In Cycles

•They are the (see charts) :

•4 Year Cycles

•10  Year Cycles

•40 - 60 Year Cycles – also read Kondratiev Cycle

( 1800 Steam Engines/Cotton  1850 Railway/Steel  1900 Electrical Engineering & Chemistry  1950 Petrochemicals & Automobiles 1990 Information Technology)

•And the shorter term Quarterly Cycles – January, April, July, October

4 Year Cycle

•2016 - ??

•2012 - Global Recession/Slowdown

•2008 - Financial Crisis

•2004 - Argentinian Crisis/SARS

•2000 - DotCom

•1996 - Asian Financial Crisis

•1992 - Black Wednesday (British pound withdrawn from      European Exchange

•1988 - Norwegian Banking Crisis

•1984 - Third World Crisis -Philippines & Singapore Recession (PanEl)

•1980 - US – Savings & Loans (S&L)

•1976 - UK National Debt

•1972 - Overproduction, Under Consumption, Oil Crisis

10 Year Cycle

2007 •Global/Euro Financial Crisis

1997 •Asia Financial Crisis

1987 •Black Monday

Quarterly Cycle

January •Capricon Effect, Portfolio Re-alignment

April •1st Quarter Report

July •Mid-Year Review

October •Jupiter Effect/Performance Recalibration